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Supporters
of the Pakistani People's Party, party of former Prime Minister
Benazir Bhutto, celebrate in Islamabad
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Additional
Reporting By Asif Farooqi, IOL Pakistan Correspondent
ISLAMABAD,
October 12 (IslamOnline & News Agencies) - Political contacts and
consultations started almost immediately for government formation
following Thursday October 10 general elections. No single party was
able to muster enough seats to form a government at the national
level.
It
was clear by Saturday morning was that only a coalition of like-minded
parties can form a government in the center as well as in the majority
of the provinces, except one province, where the religious party’s
alliance MMAP has got a clear majority.
The
most likely alliance is between the Mutahidda Majlis e Amal Pakistan
(MMAP) and Pakistan Muslim League(Q). Many analysts believe the Q
league could technically form a government with the help of
independents and some smaller groups like National Alliance (NA),
Mutahidda Qaumi Movement (MQM) and others. But this government would
be faced with a very strong opposition and would be a very fragile
one.
While
the indirect elections on the women seats has not taken place yet, 137
members are needed at this time. However, the women seats elections is
not expected to change the composition and ratio of the seats in NA.
If
Q league tries to form a government, without alliance with MMAP, it
still can bag support from at least 25 independents, 13 of MQM, 12
from NA (which is a pro-Musharraf alliance), and 13 other smaller
parties which have one or two seats in the NA. But it would be a small
majority.
So
the best option for the Q league would be to invite MMAP for a
coalition government and bring other smaller groups into the ruling
alliance so that the only parties left in the opposition are PPPP and
PML(N), says Irshad Ahmed Haqqani, a political analyst and editor of
Urdu daily Jang.
He
said it would be dangerous for the unity of the country if the Q
league tried to form a government without MMAP because this party has
gained clear support from the public. Therefore they should not be
disgruntled and be given a chance to be a part of the government.
On
the other hand, MMAP has not expressed any enthusiasm to form
government in the center. “It is not necessary that we try to form
government. We will try to meet the demands of our voters and for
this, we can sit in the opposition and the government” Qazi Hussain
Ahmed an important leader of MMAP said.
He
said his group would meet in a day or two to discuss the strategy for
the post election scenario. To a question, he said the most important
thing for his religious alliance, while forming a government, would be
that they will form alliance only with a like minded party which will
support the election manifesto of the MMAP.
Q
league on the other hand vowed to form a government in the center and
in the province of Punjab. Chauhdary Pervez Illahi, a central leader
of the PML(Q) said it was still too early to speculate with whom we
will go into alliance, one thing he said was clear that Q league will
form government.
With
the defeat of the Q league president Mian Muhammad Azhar, second most
important leader Chaudary Shujaat Hussain of the party is now seen as
the prime minister in case the Q league is able to form government.
Hussain has very good relations with the religious leaders, especially
with Qazi Hussain Ahmed. This personal relationship can also help in
the coalition negotiations.
Meanwhile,
Agence France-Presse (AFP) quoted Islamic leaders and ex-premier
Benazir Bhutto saying that the hunt for al-Qaeda in Pakistan's western
border areas and its largest city Karachi may be halted after the
surprise election sweep by anti-U.S. Islamic parties.
"Taliban and al-Qaeda members are our brothers. Whether it is
Osama bin Laden or Mullah Omar, we will not hand over anybody to the
US without any proof," declared Munawar Hasan, a leader of the
Muttahidda Majlis-e-Amal (MMA) alliance of six fundamentalist parties.
With
MMA's firm control in the two regions bordering Afghanistan,
Pakistan's active role in flushing out fugitive al-Qaeda and Taliban
was in doubt.
"The
Frontier is very critical because it's on the border of
Afghanistan," Bhutto, banned from the polls, told AFP in an
interview from London.
"Handing NWFP to the MMA is giving them (extremists) further
control, in my view."
The
MMA includes the Jamiat Ulema-i-Islam, which has extremely close links
to the Taliban ousted in Afghanistan by the U.S.-led coalition late
last year.
The
MMA campaigned heavily against Pakistan's role in the U.S.-led
efforts, pledging in particular to expel U.S. forces using Pakistani
airbases.
Pakistan
has arrested 442 al-Qaeda suspects since late last year, 380 of them
in the northwest border region plus others in Karachi and the
industrial city Faisalabad.
Bhutto
called the MMA a "frightening genie" created by the military
to win U.S. support.
"Strategically,
the military want to hold a red rag up to the West and say 'Look West,
you need a military dictatorship, because if there's not, then
pro-Taliban parties are going to come to power'."
"The
MMA is a frightening scenario because when you create genies, genies
get out of hand," Bhutto said.
"What
we have seen in the MMA is a genie of frightening proportions."
Hasan said the MMA would also place Pakistan under an Islamic system. "Our
government will rule according to the Koran and Sunnah (the sayings of
the prophet) and not with the whims of the U.S.," he told
reporters. "American policies are based on tyranny."
Bhutto
alleged the MMA had been "granted" NWFP. "I
had an inkling, I even said beforehand, that MMA will be granted NWFP,
she said, rejecting countrywide results as rigged.
"If
the elections were independent, if the vote count and the electoral
process were transparent, the MMA would not get more than eight seats
in NWFP," she said.
"The
MMA should've got eight seats on the basis of anti-American
sentiments, but not 30 or more."
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